發(fā)布時(shí)間

2022年10月17日

文章鏈接

https：//www.gartner.com/en

供稿人

David Groombridge

1、Digital Immune System

2、Applied Observability

3、AI Trust, Risk and Security Management (AI TRISM)

4、Industry Cloud Platforms

5、Platform Engineering

6、Wireless-Value Realization

7、Superapps

8、Adaptive AI

9、Metaverse

10、Sustainable Technology

1、數(shù)字免疫系統(tǒng)

2、應(yīng)用可觀察性

3、AI信任、風(fēng)險(xiǎn)與安全管理(AI TRISM)

4、行業(yè)云平臺(tái)

5、平臺(tái)工程

6、無線價(jià)值實(shí)現(xiàn)

7、超級應(yīng)用程序

8、自適應(yīng)人工智能

9、元宇宙

10、可持續(xù)性技術(shù)

Maybe your business needs to save costs, to improve margin or to reinvest. Or maybe your enterprise is still trying to grow. Perhaps this is the time for a pivot — to reinvent the business model. Some of you may even need to do all of these at once.

Business leaders and technologists can use this list to assess the potential impact of these technology trends on your specific strategies, such as growing revenue, accelerating digital, maximizing value from data, or protecting and building your brand.

也許你的企業(yè)需要節(jié)省成本，提高利潤率或進(jìn)行再投資?；蛘吣愕钠髽I(yè)還在努力成長?；蛟S，現(xiàn)在是進(jìn)行轉(zhuǎn)型的時(shí)候了——重塑商業(yè)模式。你們中的一些人甚至需要同時(shí)做所有這些事情。

商業(yè)領(lǐng)袖和技術(shù)專家可以使用這個(gè)列表來評估這些技術(shù)趨勢對你的具體戰(zhàn)略的潛在影響，比如增加收入，加速數(shù)字化，最大化數(shù)據(jù)價(jià)值，或者保護(hù)和建立你的品牌。

These trends could represent a risk or opportunity for your organization and this list will help you create a technology roadmap to drive impact on a range of strategic ambitions.

By looking at when these trends will become most relevant, you can establish your own pathway, realizing they also don’t need to be done all at once.

這些趨勢可能代表您的組織的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)或機(jī)會(huì)，這個(gè)列表將幫助您創(chuàng)建一個(gè)技術(shù)路線圖，以推動(dòng)對一系列戰(zhàn)略雄心的影響。

通過觀察這些趨勢何時(shí)變得最相關(guān)，你可以建立自己的路徑，意識(shí)到它們也不需要一次性完成。

We expect the 2023 trends to impact enterprise strategies in the coming three years by enabling organizations to address four key priorities：?

我們預(yù)計(jì)2023年的趨勢將在未來三年影響企業(yè)戰(zhàn)略，使組織能夠解決四個(gè)關(guān)鍵優(yōu)先事項(xiàng)：

Optimizing resilience, operations or trust

Scaling vertical solutions, product delivery or everywhere

Pioneering customer engagement, accelerated responses or opportunity

Pursuing sustainable technology solutions

(1)、優(yōu)化彈性、操作或信任

(2)、擴(kuò)展垂直解決方案，產(chǎn)品交付或無處不在

(3)、開創(chuàng)客戶參與，加速響應(yīng)或機(jī)會(huì)

(4)、追求可持續(xù)的技術(shù)解決方案

These trends optimize IT systems for greater reliability, improve data-driven decision making and maintain value and integrity of artificial intelligence (AI) systems in production.

這些趨勢優(yōu)化了IT系統(tǒng)，提高了可靠性，改善了數(shù)據(jù)驅(qū)動(dòng)的決策，并保持了生產(chǎn)中人工智能(AI)系統(tǒng)的價(jià)值和完整性。

Digital Immune System creates an enhanced customer experience by combining multiple software engineering strategies to protect against risk. Through observability, automation, and extreme design and testing, it delivers resilient systems that mitigate operational and security risks.

Applied Observability works from the data emitted by an organization, using AI to analyze and make recommendations, which allow an enterprise to make faster and more accurate future decisions. When applied systematically, it can reduce the latency for response and optimize business operations in real time.

AI TRiSM supports AI model governance, trustworthiness, fairness, reliability, robustness, efficacy and data protection. It combines methods for explaining AI results, rapidly deploying new models, actively managing AI security, and controls for privacy and ethics issues.

數(shù)字免疫系統(tǒng)，通過結(jié)合多種軟件工程策略來抵御風(fēng)險(xiǎn)，創(chuàng)造了增強(qiáng)的客戶體驗(yàn)。通過可觀察性、自動(dòng)化以及極限設(shè)計(jì)和測試，它提供了可彈性系統(tǒng)，降低了操作和安全風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。降低風(fēng)險(xiǎn)和提高客戶滿意度。

Gartner預(yù)測，到2025年，投資建設(shè)數(shù)字免疫系統(tǒng)的企業(yè)機(jī)構(gòu)將能夠減少多達(dá)80%的系統(tǒng)宕機(jī)時(shí)間，所減少的損失將直接轉(zhuǎn)化為更高的收入。

應(yīng)用可觀察性，從組織發(fā)出的數(shù)據(jù)出發(fā)，利用人工智能進(jìn)行分析并提出建議，使企業(yè)能夠更快、更準(zhǔn)確地做出未來的決策。當(dāng)系統(tǒng)應(yīng)用時(shí)，它可以減少響應(yīng)延遲，實(shí)時(shí)優(yōu)化業(yè)務(wù)操作。在任何相關(guān)方采取任何類型的行動(dòng)時(shí)，都會(huì)產(chǎn)生包含了數(shù)字化特征的可觀測數(shù)據(jù)，如日志、痕跡、API調(diào)用、停留時(shí)間、下載和文件傳輸?shù)?。?yīng)用可觀測性以一種高度統(tǒng)籌和整合的方式將這些可觀測的特征數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行反饋，創(chuàng)造出一個(gè)決策循環(huán)，從而提高組織決策的有效性。Karamouzis表示：“可觀測行應(yīng)用使企業(yè)機(jī)構(gòu)能夠利用他們的數(shù)據(jù)特征來獲得競爭優(yōu)勢。它能夠在正確的時(shí)間提高正確數(shù)據(jù)的戰(zhàn)略重要性，以便根據(jù)確認(rèn)的相關(guān)方行動(dòng)而不是意圖采取快速行動(dòng)，因此是一種強(qiáng)大的工具。如果能夠在戰(zhàn)略中予以規(guī)劃并成功執(zhí)行，可觀測性應(yīng)用將成為數(shù)據(jù)驅(qū)動(dòng)型決策的最強(qiáng)大來源。”

AI信任、風(fēng)險(xiǎn)和安全管理，支持AI模型治理、可信性、公平性、可靠性、魯棒性、有效性和數(shù)據(jù)保護(hù)。它結(jié)合了解釋人工智能結(jié)果、快速部署新模型、積極管理人工智能安全、控制隱私和道德問題的方法。企業(yè)機(jī)構(gòu)必須使用新的功能來保證模型的可靠性、可信度、安全性和數(shù)據(jù)保護(hù)。

These technology trends accelerate vertical offerings, increase the pace of product delivery and enable connectivity everywhere.

這些技術(shù)趨勢加速了垂直產(chǎn)品的提供，加快了產(chǎn)品交付的速度，并使無處不在的連接成為可能。

Industry Cloud Platforms combine SaaS, PaaS and IaaS with tailored, industry-specific functionality that organizations can use to more easily adapt to the relentless stream of disruptions in their industry.

Platform Engineering provides a curated set of tools, capabilities and processes that are packaged for easy consumption by developers and end users. It will increase end users’ productivity and reduce the burden on development teams.

Wireless-Value Realization covers the provision of wireless network services from everything, including traditional end-user computing, support for edge devices, digital tagging solutions, etc. Such networks go well beyond pure connectivity, providing location and other real-time information and insight from analytics, and allow systems to harvest network energy directly.

行業(yè)云平臺(tái)，將SaaS、PaaS和IaaS與量身定制的特定于行業(yè)的功能相結(jié)合，組織可以使用這些功能更容易地適應(yīng)行業(yè)中持續(xù)不斷的干擾流。

企業(yè)可以將行業(yè)云平臺(tái)的打包功能作為基礎(chǔ)模塊，組合成獨(dú)特、差異化的數(shù)字業(yè)務(wù)項(xiàng)目，在提高敏捷性、推動(dòng)創(chuàng)新和縮短產(chǎn)品上市時(shí)間的同時(shí)避免單一廠商鎖定。

Gartner預(yù)測，到2027年，超過50%的企業(yè)將使用行業(yè)云平臺(tái)來加速他們的業(yè)務(wù)項(xiàng)目。

平臺(tái)工程，提供了一組經(jīng)過策劃的工具、功能和過程，這些工具、功能和過程被打包，便于開發(fā)人員和最終用戶使用。它將提高最終用戶的生產(chǎn)力，并減少開發(fā)團(tuán)隊(duì)的負(fù)擔(dān)。

Gartner預(yù)測，到2026年，80%的軟件工程組織將建立平臺(tái)團(tuán)隊(duì)，其中75%將包含開發(fā)者自助服務(wù)門戶。

無線價(jià)值實(shí)現(xiàn)，涵蓋了從各個(gè)方面提供無線網(wǎng)絡(luò)服務(wù)，包括傳統(tǒng)終端用戶計(jì)算、對邊緣設(shè)備的支持、數(shù)字標(biāo)記解決方案等。這樣的網(wǎng)絡(luò)遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)超出了純粹的連接，提供位置和其他實(shí)時(shí)信息，并允許系統(tǒng)直接從分析中獲取網(wǎng)絡(luò)能量。

Gartner預(yù)測，到2025年，60%的企業(yè)將同時(shí)使用五種以上的無線技術(shù)。

These trends focus on enabling business model change, reinventing engagement with employees and customers, and accelerating strategies to tap new virtual markets.

這些趨勢的重點(diǎn)是實(shí)現(xiàn)商業(yè)模式的改變，重塑與員工和客戶的關(guān)系，加快開發(fā)新虛擬市場的戰(zhàn)略。

Superapps are more than composite applications that aggregate services. A superapp combines the features of an app, a platform and an ecosystem in one application, providing a platform for third parties to develop and publish their own miniapps on.

Adaptive AI allows for model behavior change post-deployment by using real-time feedback, to continuously retrain models and learn within runtime and development environments, based on new data and adjusted goals, to adapt quickly to changing real-world circumstances.

Metaverse allows people to replicate or enhance their physical activities. This could happen by transporting or extending physical activities to a virtual world or by transforming the physical one. It is a combinatorial innovation made up of multiple technology themes and capabilities.

超級應(yīng)用程序，不僅僅是聚合服務(wù)的復(fù)合應(yīng)用程序。超級應(yīng)用是將應(yīng)用程序、平臺(tái)和生態(tài)系統(tǒng)的功能結(jié)合在一個(gè)應(yīng)用程序中，為第三方提供了一個(gè)開發(fā)和發(fā)布他們自己的微應(yīng)用的平臺(tái)。

Gartner預(yù)測，到2027年，全球50%以上的人口將成為多個(gè)超級應(yīng)用的日活躍用戶。

自適應(yīng)AI，允許在部署后通過使用實(shí)時(shí)反饋來改變模型行為，基于新的數(shù)據(jù)和調(diào)整的目標(biāo)，在運(yùn)行時(shí)和開發(fā)環(huán)境中不斷地重新訓(xùn)練模型和學(xué)習(xí)，以快速適應(yīng)不斷變化的現(xiàn)實(shí)環(huán)境。

元宇宙，允許人們復(fù)制或增強(qiáng)他們的身體活動(dòng)。這可以通過將物理活動(dòng)傳輸或擴(kuò)展到虛擬世界，或通過改變物理世界來實(shí)現(xiàn)。它是由多種技術(shù)主題和能力組成的組合創(chuàng)新。Gartner預(yù)測，到2027年，全球超過40%的大型企業(yè)機(jī)構(gòu)將在基于元宇宙的項(xiàng)目中使用Web3、增強(qiáng)現(xiàn)實(shí)（AR）云和數(shù)字孿生的組合來增加收入。

Delivering technology alone will not be enough in 2023. Sustainable technology is a framework of solutions that increases the energy and efficiency of IT services；?enables enterprise sustainability through technologies like traceability, analytics, emissions management software and AI；?and helps customers achieve their own sustainability objectives.

Investments in sustainable technology also have the potential to create greater operational resiliency and financial performance, while providing new avenues for growth.

在2023年，僅交付技術(shù)是不夠的。可持續(xù)技術(shù)是提高IT服務(wù)的能源和效率的解決方案框架；通過可追溯、分析、排放管理軟件和人工智能等技術(shù)實(shí)現(xiàn)企業(yè)可持續(xù)發(fā)展；并幫助客戶實(shí)現(xiàn)他們自己的可持續(xù)發(fā)展目標(biāo)。

對可持續(xù)技術(shù)的投資也有可能創(chuàng)造更大的業(yè)務(wù)彈性和財(cái)務(wù)業(yè)績，同時(shí)提供新的增長途徑。

In short：

Gartner’s Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends will help fulfill your business needs to optimize, scale or pioneer.

The trends allow you to align your technology innovation with the future strategic objectives of your enterprise.

Investments in sustainable technology provide operational and financial benefits, and can create growth opportunities.

簡而言之：

Gartner的十大戰(zhàn)略技術(shù)趨勢將幫助您滿足優(yōu)化、擴(kuò)展或開拓業(yè)務(wù)的需求。

這些趨勢允許您將技術(shù)創(chuàng)新與企業(yè)的未來戰(zhàn)略目標(biāo)結(jié)合起來。

對可持續(xù)技術(shù)的投資可提供經(jīng)營和財(cái)務(wù)效益，并可創(chuàng)造增長機(jī)會(huì)。